Express Business Filler #1

JMMB Group Ltd (JMMBGL) recently launched an Additional Public Offering (APO) of shares concurrently in both Trinidad and Tobago and Jamaica. The issue is currently sized at 266,737,797 ordinary shares, with JMMBGL reserving the right to increase this issue to a maximum of 325m shares. Within this issue, 150m shares will be reserved for key investors, 80m shares for existing shareholders and team member while, the remaining 36.7m shares (95m shares if JMMBGL decides to increase its offer to the maximum) will be available to general investors.

The proceeds of the offer are intended to be used by JMMBGL for the expansion and diversification of the company, through avenues such as the funding of a 22.2 per cent stake in “New Sagicor” for US$250m, subject to the completion of Sagicor’s acquisition by Alignvest Acquisition II Corporation.

The invitation was opened to investors from 9 a.m. on October 22 and will be closed at 4 p.m. (3 p.m. in Jamaica) on November 11, 2019, however the issuer reserves the right to close the offer earlier. The basis of allocation of new shares is expected to be announced by November 14, 2019 while the allotment of shares can be expected by November 25, 2019.

With news of this release and in order to help investors to make the most informed decision, we at Bourse take a closer look at:

• JMMBGL’s stock valuation relative to its peers, particularly listed securities in the Non-Banking Finance Sector which investors could view as alternative investments

• JMMBGL’s recent trading history

Relative Multiples Valuation

JMMBGL currently has a market capitalisation of $3.26b and is the second smallest company listed in the Non-Banking Finance Sector of the Composite Index. Should subscriptions of the APO meet the target, and the number of issued shares increase by 16.4 per cent-19.9 per cent, the commensurate increase in market capitalisation (all else being held constant) could bolster JMMBGL to being the second-largest Non-Banking Finance institution on the local exchange.

At its current price of $2 on the TTSE, JMMBGL trades at a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.20 times. At the issue prices of $1.90 and $1.94, investors would be purchasing the stock at a P/E ratio of 15.39x and 15.71x respectively. Using the projected 20.2 per cent increase in EPS expected to arise from JMMBGL’s equity stake in Sagicor the forward P/E is 13.8 times.

JMMBGL currently has a trailing dividend yield which is lagging behind its sector peers, a consequence of its low dividend pay-out ratio and price appreciation. JMMBGL has undertaken a strategy which is actively aimed at expanding and diversifying through acquisitions and the addition of new business lines. Therefore, a larger portion of funds are reinvested into the business with the likely aim of maximising shareholder wealth in the long term.

Climbing Stock Prices

Over the past three years JMMBGL’s share price would have experienced some volatility facing upward and downward shifts in price, trading at an average price of $1.65. However, over the course of the last six months JMMBGL shares traded at an average price of $2.12, appreciating to a high of $2.50 on the announcement of the entity’s intention to purchase a 22.2 per cent stake in Sagicor. Subsequent to the announcement of the JMMBGL’s APO, the share price would have retreated somewhat, likely because investors expected the shares to be offered at a substantial discount to the then traded price of the stock.

Using the 3-year average price, investors purchasing issues of this stock at a price of $1.94 and $1.90 respectively will be paying a 15 per cent and 13.2 per cent premium respectively. However, looking at a six-month average price of $2.12, investors would be obtaining JMMB’s share at discount of 9.2 per cent and 11.5 per cent respectively.

Over the past five financial years (2015-2019), JMMBGL’s share price has grown at a rate of 31.43 per cent compounded annually, far outpacing the growth of earnings as evidenced by the five-year CAGR of 14.67 per cent.

EPS Trends Upward, Dividends Stable

Earnings Per Share(EPS) grew at a five-year CAGR of 14.67 per cent while Dividends Per Share would have experienced a five-year CAGR of 8.90 per cent growing from $0.016 in FY 2015 to $0.024 in FY 2019.

JMMBGL currently has a five-year average dividend payout ratio of 22.8 per cent. The company is projecting a 20.2 per cent or $0.025 increase to its Earnings Per Share going forward contingent on JMMGBL’s acquisition of a 22.2 per cent stake in New Sagicor. Additionally, JMMBGL would have recently introduced a commercial banking arm in Jamaica and launched loan provision entity JMMB Express Finance. These initiatives are in keeping with JMMBGL strategy of expansion and regional diversification, factors that are likely to drive longer term profit growth.

The Bourse View

The question that would now be on the minds of investors is whether the JMMBGL APO presents a good opportunity. The Jamaican market has offered investors staggering return in recent times, however the growth in the Trinidadian market has not been nearly as significant. As a result, the issue price may seem a bit frothy in contrast to the historical traded price of JMMBGL. Nevertheless, the opportunities presented by the JMMBGL APO do seem quite promising and investors should consider that:

• Based on the history of improving financial performance, compounded by pending acquisition a 22.2 per cent equity stake in Sagicor and other expansionary activity which should further bolster performance, JMMBGL’s growth prospects in the medium term are likely to experience an upward trend.

• JMMBGL shares, ultimately offer TTD investors greater access to hard currency upon disposal.

• Despite having a relatively low dividend yield in comparison to its peers, JMMBGL offers investors USD dividend payments, which can be viewed as a valuable means of accessing hard currency in a constrained foreign exchange environment

• The issue prices offer the option to purchase JMMBGL stock at a small discount relative to the current traded prices on both the local and Jamaican exchange.

For more information on these and other investment themes, please contact Bourse Securities Limited, at 226-8773 or e-mail us at invest@boursefinancial.com

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